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MOOD of the Voters Unpredictable in this 2019 Odisha Election reveals EK SOOCH assessment report

Ek Sooch – an evolving consulting & research organisation assessed the mood of the voter across Odisha during the 2019 General and Assembly Elections. The ek Sooch team embarked on a road journey to cover all 21 Lok Sabha and 110 Vidhan Sabha constituencies in Odisha.

It took 26 days of travel and 6026 kms on road to complete this path breaking journey to understand the voters across a diverse state like Odisha. This journey by road gave very interesting feedbacks, insights and trends.

The voters were very circumspect and reluctant to open up initially but once the discussion gained their interest ….the voters opened up and gave lot of insights ranging from local to state to national level.

 

This photo depicts an elderly villager interacting with the eK Sooch team. ?It was ensured that the sample never got the feel that this discussion was taken for some feedback or research.

SURVEY REPORT – on the basis of data collected 
% of respondents voting for Modi51%
% of respondents voting for Naveen40%
% of respondents opting for Congress/Others9%
% opting for Modi at Center and Naveen at State48%

 

The MOOD of the state: This is the overall broad feel on interaction with voters across the State and can be seen giving a clear direction for the 2019 Odisha Elections. The Naveen factor is still intact but voters seem to be losing interest due to 19 long years of anti incumbency. The Modi factor was very strong with respondents being very clear about his 2nd term as PM

  • Modi for 2nd term
  • Naveen at the state but for last time
  • Undercurrent for change in the State

Key factors deciding winnability: In most of the seats the fight was a very close contest –with voters divided and the mood evident. We picked up the factors that was impacting the voters decision and could collate the factors deciding the fate of the candidates

Ø Naveen and Modi factor
Ø Anti incumbency
Ø Candidates switching parties
Ø Dynasty kin siblings issue
Ø Kalia scheme has hurt many
Ø Local factors and candidates selection
Ø Corruption and nepotism

Founder member and team lead Asutosh Swain says – It was an exhilarating experience travelling the length and breadth of the state and interacting with people on election issues and assessing the mood of the voter. I did feel that the results will be very difficult to predict and no doubt Odisha is on the national radar this time.

Ek SOOCH think tank has predicted the 2019 Odisha Lok Sabha and Vidhan Sabha on the basis of primary and secondary data.

SEAT PREDICTION 2019
 LOK SABHAVIDHAN SABHA
BJD8 <> 1078 <> 95
BJP9 <> 1238 <> 52
INC1 <> 211 <> 14
Others01 <> 2

 

This project was taken up by Ek Sooch – An evolving consulting and research organisation which will focus on socially relevant issues and topics.

Founder – Asutosh Swain

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